Liverpool vs Chelsea: prediction and betting preview

By Tolu Shotade · Sat 9 May, 13:30 WAT

Introduction

Two clubs limping into the final fortnight. Liverpool are out of the title race and clinging to fourth, Chelsea are mid-table and eyeing a Conference League spot. Neither defence has been remotely solid. Liverpool have conceded in nine of their last eleven Premier League games. Chelsea have shipped two or more in five of their last seven away. The Anfield crowd will demand intent from the Reds, but Slot's back line is leaking and Salah has looked fatigued. This is the kind of fixture where both sides score, neither keeps a clean sheet, and the whole thing finishes inside a 2-2 to 3-2 range.

Form and key stats

• Liverpool: 4th in the table, 35 played, 17W 7D 11L, 59 goals for and 47 against.
• Chelsea: 9th, 35 played, 13W 9D 13L, 54 goals for and 48 against. Best attack outside the top four.
• H2H: Chelsea won the reverse 2-1 at Stamford Bridge in October 2025. Three of the last four meetings produced 3+ goals.
• Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their last 11 league games.
• Chelsea's last 5 away games: W L W D L. Inconsistent but always involved in goals.

Key stat to know

Both teams have scored in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 home games and 8 of Chelsea's last 10 away. The BTTS Yes line has landed in 14 of those 20 fixtures combined. The market knows. The price still has juice if you take it early.

Our tips for this match

• BTTS Yes at 1.62 (1xBet): Liverpool are leaking, Chelsea always score. Both attacks have the personnel, both back lines are unreliable. This is the cleanest call on the card.
• Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 (Stake): Last four meetings averaged 2.75 goals. Both teams need points and neither will sit deep.

Verdict

Take BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 goals. Mohamed Salah anytime scorer and Cole Palmer 2+ shots on target are the top player props.

Predictions are for entertainment and research. All betting involves risk. If it’s not fun any more, please stop.