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Ligue 1 · Sat 9 May, 21:00 WAT

PSG vs Brest: prediction and betting preview

PSG lead Ligue 1 by six points and need to seal the title. Brest are 12th, on a poor run, and were always going to struggle once the budget caught up with them. PSG comfortable home win.

PSG vs Brest, Ligue 1 matchday atmosphere at the venue

By Tolu Shotade · Sat 9 May, 21:00 WAT

Introduction

PSG host Brest at a Parc des Princes that is ready to celebrate a title. Luis Enrique's side have lost just five league games all season, scored 70 goals, and Dembele has been imperious in the run-in. Brest sit 12th, are on a five-game winless run, and have conceded 51 goals already. They were a feel-good story two seasons ago but the spend has not held up against the rest of the league. PSG will win this comfortably and the only question is whether they hit four. The handicap is the trade.

Form and key stats

  • PSG: 1st in Ligue 1, 31 played, 22W 4D 5L, 70 goals for. Last 5: D W W L W.
  • Brest: 12th, 31 played, 10W 8D 13L, 41 goals for and 51 against. Last 5: L D D L L.
  • H2H: PSG won the reverse 4-1 at Brest earlier in the season.
  • Ousmane Dembele has been involved in a goal in 9 of his last 11 league starts.
  • Brest have failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their last 10 league games.

Key stat to know

PSG have won 14 of 16 home games and 11 of those were by 2 or more goals. The handicap is the cleanest play in Ligue 1 this weekend.

Our tips for this match

  • PSG -1.5 AH at 1.85 (Stake): PSG win by 2+ goals at home consistently. Brest are out of form. This is a 3-0 or 4-1 fixture on the model.
  • Over 3.5 goals at 1.95 (1xBet): PSG home games average 3.4 goals. Brest concede freely. The over has landed in 11 of PSG's 16 home games this season.

Verdict

Take PSG -1.5 AH and Over 3.5 goals. Ousmane Dembele anytime scorer and Bradley Barcola 2+ shots on target are the top player props.

Predictions are for entertainment and research. All betting involves risk. If it’s not fun any more, please stop.